The Prince William Sound region is dominated by the relatively weak SW winds, which are not forecast to change substantially in the next 48 hours. At the ocean surface, a moderate-strength cyclonic eddy is present in the center of the Sound which is forecast to persist through the next 48 hours. Surface drifter trajectories predicted using an ensemble of ocean model simulations from a release point near the center of the cyclonic eddy show rather short and chaotic movements over the next 48 hours with an uncertainty in ending location of 2-3 km. For the next two days, the tidal range will around 8 feet. High water at Valdez will be around 4 feet at 19 AKDT and low water around -4 feet at 2 AKDT. The 4km WRF forecast was delayed by about 12 hours, otherwise there were no significant operational issues.
You can see this from our front web page: http://ourocean.jpl.nasa.gov/PWS/
click July 15, you can get the 5-page detailed daily summary in a pdf file.
As we are getting more real-time data, we plan to plot their locations on this front page as well.
The drifter locations will be in a separate page, because of the large number.
Our plan is to repeat this every day, so that we can improve our presentation and daily summary as we start our FE next week. Any ideas, comments and suggestions are greatly appreciated.
Regards. -Yi
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
Daily Summary - ROMS Group
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